fubarobfusco comments on Value evolution - Less Wrong Discussion
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Well, except for Steven Pinker.
I'm not sure he does either. He covers a very long sweep of time, and I don't think he points to any clear shifts until at least a millennium ago, although much of the changes comes in the past 500 years (which is also true of pretty much anything, that's why we call those shifts 'Revolutions').
One of the first trends Pinker deals with is the transition from nonstate to state societies, including ancient empires. Hammurabi counts for some sort of moral progress over perpetually feuding hunter-gatherers.
Does it? It is true Pinker spent a lot of time on trying to compare death-rates with hunter-gatherers, but it's not obvious that the comparison is that favorable for early empires (as opposed to modern civilizations) and I believe he also discusses ways in which people were worse off due to formation of states, such as poorer nutrition, taxation, and massively organized warfare. (It's a very big book and he covers a lot of nuances.)
Do you recommend his book? I watched his Edge talk anticipating at least a little insight into whether lessened violence is actually extremely temporary (e.g. ending within this century), but he didn't speculate that way.
Yes.
It is not at all certain that the change was an improvement in terms of moral behavior of the people in question.