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Dan_Moore comments on Mitt Romney's $10,000 bet - Less Wrong Discussion

31 Post author: MileyCyrus 12 December 2011 02:14AM

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Comment author: Dan_Moore 12 December 2011 04:50:57PM 0 points [-]

One error Romney made is that a wager on his part would have been politically more palatable than a bet. The subject matter in question is Romney's own words; he is presumably quite aware of what he said. Therefore, he's proposing what appears to be a sucker bet, which would create a $10K debt for Perry, which seems unfair. Also, gambling is offensive to some voters; Perry's refusal to go there scored points for him at Romney's expense.

Even a wager (where payment would occur only if Perry could prove his case) would carry the risk of Romney being perceived as something of a crackpot, or someone who reneges on a wager, if Perry could make a convincing case.