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Michael_Sullivan comments on two puzzles on rationality of defeat - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: fsopho 12 December 2011 02:17PM

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Comment author: Michael_Sullivan 14 December 2011 12:19:48PM 0 points [-]

Confidence that the same premises can imply both ~T and T is confidence that at least one of your premises is logically inconsistent with he others -- that they cannot all be true. It's not just a question of whether they model something correctly -- there is nothing they could model completely correctly.

In puzzle one, I would simply conclude that either one of the proofs is incorrect, or one of the premises must be false. Which option I consider most likely will depend on my confidence in my own ability, Ms. Math's abilities, whether she has confirmed the logic of my proof or been able to show me a misstep, my confidence in Ms. Math's beliefs about the premises, and my priors for each premise.

Comment author: AlexMennen 14 December 2011 06:33:27PM *  0 points [-]

at least one of your premises is logically inconsistent with he others -- that they cannot all be true.

Suppose I have three axioms: A, B, and C.

A: x=5

B: x+y=4

C: 2x+y=6

Which axiom is logically inconsistent with the others? (A, B), (B, C), and (A, C) are all consistent systems, so I can't declare any of the axioms to be false, just that for any particular model of anything remotely interesting, at least one of them must not apply.