TimS comments on How to Draw Conclusions Like Sherlock Holmes - Less Wrong Discussion
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Sherlock Holmes may be a rationalist, but his process is invisible to the reader.
A typical Holmes conversation (in form, at least):
But all Holmes' facts (except that Lestrade is a police officer) are invisible to the reader. Also invisible to the reader are the facts about Lestrade that are irrelevant to the story or the analysis (i.e. Lestrade was wearing a brown jacket, he recently shaved, and is carrying a note in his pocket, probably a list of items his wife wants him to buy on the way home).
Even if we wanted to, we couldn't follow along with Holmes' reasoning, including the dismissal of the irrelevant facts. In short, Holmes' "rationality" is really deus ex machina in favor of a character in a story.