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Larks comments on What jobs are safe in an automated future? - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: PuyaSharif 11 January 2012 08:48PM

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Comment author: Larks 12 January 2012 10:47:28AM *  1 point [-]

Same here. Let us put it on prediction book and assign odds once we agree. We could even make more than one prediction.

Ok, so how about something like

  • A = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an undergraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
  • B = the proportion of the population of [region] getting an postgraduate degree in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
  • C = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010
  • D = the proportion of the population of [region] employed in higher education in [year] will be higher than it was in 2010

And we'd prediction book:

  • A iff B
  • A iff C
  • A iff D
  • B iff C
  • B iff D

Edit: formatting

Comment author: Barry_Cotter 13 January 2012 03:30:43AM 0 points [-]

Consider distinguishing between research and taught postgrads, and postgrads that build on the undergrad and ones that are postgrad purely or primarily for signalling purposes, like JDs, MBAs and MDs.

Comment author: Larks 13 January 2012 08:53:27AM 0 points [-]

Can we easily get statistics on those?

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