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billswift comments on Open Thread, January 15-31, 2012 - Less Wrong Discussion

9 Post author: OpenThreadGuy 16 January 2012 12:56AM

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Comment author: billswift 22 January 2012 02:35:02AM *  0 points [-]

The arrest rates indicate that the law-enforcement system "believes" that black Americans use illegal drugs more — a statistical trend which isn't there.

In fact your interpretation is wrong. It is not "the law-enforcement system "believes"" that blacks use more. It is that blacks are more often dealers, and it is easier to get a conviction or plea bargain as a user than as a dealer, since the latter requires intent as well as possession and will be fought harder because of higher penalties.

Comment author: TimS 24 January 2012 02:19:22AM 0 points [-]

I suspect that blacks are not over-represented as drug dealers. Rather, blacks live in urban areas, which can be policed at lower cost than rural areas for population density reasons.