The claim made that donating to the SIAI is the charity donation with the highest expected return* always struck me as rather arrogant, though I can see the logic behind it.
The problem is firstly that its an extremely self serving statement, (equivalent to "giving us money is the best thing you can ever possibly do") even if true its credibility is reduced by the claim coming from the same person who would benefit from it.
Secondly it requires me to believe a number of claims which individually require a burden of proof, and gain more from the conjunction. Including: "Strong AI is possible," "friendly AI is possible," "The actions of the SIAI will significantly effect the results of investigations into FAI," and "the money I donate will significantly improve the effectiveness of the SIAI's research" (I expect the relationship between research efffectiveness and funding isn't linear). All of which I only have your word for.
Thirdly, contrast this with other charities who are known to be very effective and can prove it, and whose results affect presently suffering people (e.g. Against malaria).
Caveat, I'm not arguing any of the claims are wrong, but all the arguments I have for it come from people with an incentive in getting me to donate so I have reasonable grounds for questioning the whole construct from outside the argument.
*Can't remember the exact wording but that was the takeaway of a headline in the last fundraiser.
The claim made that donating to the SIAI is the charity donation with the highest expected return* always struck me as rather arrogant
I feel like I've heard this claimed, too, but... where? I can't find it.
Can't remember the exact wording but that was the takeaway of a headline in the last fundraiser.
Here is the latest fundraiser; which line were you thinking of? I don't see it.
I intended Leveling Up in Rationality to communicate this:
But some people seem to have read it and heard this instead:
This failure (on my part) fits into a larger pattern of the Singularity Institute seeming too arrogant and (perhaps) being too arrogant. As one friend recently told me:
So, I have a few questions: