Are there subjects and ways in which SI isn't arrogant enough?
Informally, let us suppose perceived arrogance in attempting a task is the perceived competence of the individual divided by the perceived difficulty of the task. SIAI is attempting an impossible task, without infinite competence. Thus, there is no way SIAI can be arrogant enough.
I'm pretty sure you flipped the fraction upside-down here. Shouldn't it be perceived difficulty of the task divided by perceived competence? Gifted high-school student who boldly declares that he will develop a Theory of Everything over the course of summer vacation is arrogant (low competence, high difficulty). Top-notch theoretical physicist who boldly declares that he will solve a problem from a high-school math contest is not. So SIAI is actually infinitely arrogant, according to your assumptions.
I intended Leveling Up in Rationality to communicate this:
But some people seem to have read it and heard this instead:
This failure (on my part) fits into a larger pattern of the Singularity Institute seeming too arrogant and (perhaps) being too arrogant. As one friend recently told me:
So, I have a few questions: