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Bobertron comments on Thinking Bayesianically, with Lojban - Less Wrong Discussion

11 Post author: DataPacRat 24 January 2012 06:47PM

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Comment author: Bobertron 16 September 2013 01:41:38AM *  1 point [-]

"Almost Certain" is missing and "Highly Likely" and "Higly Unlikely" have the wrong numbers. It should be:

  • 100% Certainty
  • 86-99% Almost Certain
  • 71-85& Highly Likely
  • 56-70% Likely
  • 46-55% Chances a Little Better [or Less]
  • 31-45% Unlikely
  • 16-30% Highly Unlikely
  • 1-15% Remote
  • 0% Impossibility
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