Tyrrell_McAllister comments on [SEQ RERUN] Probability is in the Mind - Less Wrong Discussion
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I think that this puzzle still has some brain-teasing ability left, even for the Bayesian.
After all, a proper Bayesian treatment would have to ask, "What was the prior probability that I would ask whether at least one of the children was a boy?" That is, you would have to ask yourself, "How do I condition on the fact that I'm the sort of person who asks whether one of the children is a boy, instead of asking whether one of the children is a girl?" Hence, the problem leads directly into anthropic considerations.