Related to: List of public drafts on LessWrong
I want to talk about democracy.
I do so here because I don't think this is mind-killing. And I sure feel some rational debate about it would be educational, for me mostly, since there are so many great minds here and... I will come clean, I think democracy isn't that great, considering this how is it possible that I am but ignorant? Or possibly evil. But before I can explain why I think as I do, I need to see why people think it is great. Who knows, maybe I've missed something vital? Or maybe people don't like democracy already but they believe that they do. Or maybe I'm wrong about how popular such doubts are on this site, beyond a small but assuredly not tiny minority.
Now obviously there are doubts and doubts. Saying that democracy as it is in the West has problems, but only because it isn't true democracy, isn't what I mean by "doubting democracy" at all. To give an analogy I see this as like doubting communism by saying that what we are doing clearly isn't true communism, this is why the 5 year plan has failed comrades! Those darn counter-revolutionary forces sabotaging us! Those darn undemocratic influences subverting our...
Does anyone here understand the exact relationship between near/far and system I/II? LessWrongers often seem to talk as if near is system I and far is system II, but Hanson says near is about logic and far is about intuition.
I just finished a (poorly designed) ~3 month experiment with the Paleo Diet. I'm not sure what to do next. Does anyone have any requests for an n=1 trial of something having to do with bodily health/cognitive performance? Please, nothing that has a significant probability of doing massive harm to my mind/body.
Seen here:
...Harvard psychologist and APS Fellow and Charter Member Ellen Langer observed similar rule-based behavior in a typical office setting. She had researchers ask if they could cut in line to use a copy machine. When they simply said, “Excuse me, may I use the copy machine?”, only 60 percent of the subjects complied. When the researchers gave a reason — “Excuse me, may I use the copy machine because I’m in a rush?” — 94 percent said yes. Langer tested this one more time with the phrase, “Excuse me, may I use the copy machine because I need to make s
Why aren't these open threads automatically generated, then archived into a list (also automatically)? The same could be said for the monthly quote threads and the Welcome to Less Wrong threads and the HPMoR threads. I don't understand.
I read Ender's Game for the first time last month [yes, it's fantastic, and yes, I'm an idiot for not reading it sooner]. I wasn't aware of the book's plot until then, so I had gone through 83 chapters of HPMOR without realising it paid homage to Ender's Game [let alone the extent to which it did so]. Are there references to other books [or films or other forms of media, I guess] which I might have missed?
A new cool post on the West Hunters blog.
...We are now at the point where we can realistically expect to see interventions that significantly increase human intelligence.
...
I should probably address one concern before I go further. Some people might worry that since natural selection optimizes traits, increasing human intelligence would naturally upset some balance, mess up some precise tradeoff, and so such attempts are foredoomed. Forgeddaboutit. The tradeoffs are optimized, all right, but for past environments, not the present. We have a lot
Kim Øyhus's website is pretty impressive and has some decent LW-resembling pages such as his absence of evidence is evidence of absence proof and his independent proof of many-worlds.
He even quotes Eliezer at the bottom of his homepage.
He also criticizes Barbour's The End of Time, but as I am not a physicist, nor have I read Barbour's book, I have no idea whether his criticisms are justified.
I have been extremely confused about why anthropics is treated the way it is, I am asking for clarification. I will first explain my current position:
There is no such thing as an "observer." The problem with anthropic reasoning is the same as the problem with the Copenhagen interpretation of quantum mechanics, namely, it invokes non-real magical properties of human minds which I thought we had safely dissolved at this point.
Take your pick of the various anthropic assumptions. Each of them treats the "observer" as some kind of ontolog...
I just realised that 'banzai' translates to 'ten thousand years' and used to mean 'may live ten thousand years'. Could be repurposed as a transhumanist catchphrase.
Etiquette question: Should/how should one respond to 'old' comments or comment on 'old' posts, and what is a reasonable baseline for old as opposed to current?
I've been wanting to experience actually working with bayes nets and similar models for a while now; but too confused about where to get started and not quite motivated enough to find out. The Stanford Probabilistic Graphical Model course has held my hand through installing Octave and SAMIAM, and I'm getting more comfortable with the quantitative side of bayes. It's still in its first week, so I'd highly recommend jumping in to anyone in a similar position.
Could someone define "acausal trade" for me? I have read Drescher and LW pages on the topic.
As I understand it: We have agents A and B, possibly space/time separated so that no interaction is possible. A and B each can do something the other wants, and value that thing less than the other does -- This is the usual condition for trade.
However, A and B cannot count on the usual enforcement mechanisms to ensure cooperation, e.g. an expectation of future interactions or an outside enforcer.
A and B will cooperate because each knows that the other c...
Rationality, knowledge and technology before science. Interesting take on scholarship and the history of science. A talk on the "Darwinian method" by Michael Vassar from the 2010 Singularity Summit.
I'm thinking about writing a post about "The evolution of social contracts" (looking at social contracts in the animal kingdom basically, might bring up some of Dennett's work on the evolution of morality) and/or a post about "Why pain do not imply suffering" (Some insight that neuroscience and pharmacology have provided that cast some light on the sensation of physical "pain"). But I would like to have someone look through the post(s) before I posting it, since English is not my fist languish and I happen to be a dyslectic. I would be very thankful if someone would care to do so.
This (a pop-sci story about a study on creativity relating to inebriation and sleep deprivation) looked interesting, but didn't really seem to fit in with LessWrong's core interests, and the main study it references (http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13546783.2011.625663) is behind a paywall.
Hence the draft, before proceeding to critique it I wanted to make sure I was attacking a steel man of moderate social democracy the currently reigning Western ideology.
If the goal was to discuss a steel man of social democratic theory, it seems to me that you've done a reasonable job. But not being a social democrat, I don't know that my opinion should count for much. You disagree with the social democrats for some reason. You don't share some of their premises, so that what is steel as evaluated by your premises (or mine) is likely not so steely to them.
I like your basic thrust, of first identifying what government is supposed (by them) to be for. I was actually meaning to ask this of the social democratic crowd in our next monthly politics thread. As I related, in the US we have a specific narrative of what government is for, grounded in the ideology, events, and documents of the creation of the country. I don't have a real sense of where Europeans get their answer to the question, "what is government for?".
Should it be a goodness machine? I liked your explicit identification of it. That's starts sounding uncomfortably theocratic, because it is.
But I haven't liked your using "democracy" as a short hand for the party platform of generic social democrats. Calling it Social Democracy would at least consistently make it clear that you mean a complex of procedures, programs, and values, and not just voting, which was my initial impression when I've seen you question democracy in the past.
Unless you're really opposed to voting per se, your use of democracy as shorthand for social democracy easily leads to mistaking your views on voting, and is just unnecessarily unclear regardless.
Looking from the outside it seems pretty obvious the US government is expected to be a goodness generating machine.
That's the thing. The news you get is filtered through European Social Democratic media perusing American Social Democratic media. That's the view you get from the outside.
But those who control the centralized levers are hardly all of the country. You're not hearing what's said at churches, and picnics, and group emails, and talk radio, and small town newspapers. Many people hear these voices instead, and don't spend so much time listening to the Social Democratic media.
And as for "the educated", you've got a biased sample again. Much of the educated are in science, technology, and business, and they are not quite so liberal. Socially liberal, but not social democrats.
I was most amused the other day to hear my sister rant about how the government had no right to tell her she had to wear a seat belt. I remember my dad similarly ranting, and thought the attitude was a rather old fashioned one that had died out as we increasingly accepted hyper regulation as an unquestioned fact of life. Having my thoroughly apolitical sister rant in this fashion was a surprise.
Probably in half the country, there is a large sentiment toward the negative rights view of government. People aren't entirely consistent in this regard, and have been corrupted by programs such as Social Security that dishonestly sold themselves as government pension plans that you "earned" by paying into them. So they support this wealth transfer program because they feel they, and others, have earned their benefits.
And as long as the government is passing out goodies, people will push for their goodies. But talk to them about what government is for, and whether they want government to be passing out goodies at all, and you'll get a different answer. There's no real logical contradiction between condemning the trough and bellying up to the trough while it's there.
If anything, in my lifetime, the negative rights view has made a huge comeback in the US, and particularly on explicit ideological grounds.
What does the "pro-freedom" or negative rights camp have? A few internet blogs and think thanks?
I was born in 1965. There was no institutional support of small government, libertarian ideas. Barry Goldwater had just gotten crushed when he ran for president, but he at least won the nomination as an explicitly pro freedom, small government candidate. See the quotes. http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Barry_Goldwater
Reagan ran on smaller government themes, which have largely become official Republican dogma. At least when they need to win an election. Like now.
Meanwhile, now they have blogs, and talk radio, and have even been making significant inroads into culture. Much of fantasy/scifi culture is explicitly libertarian. On the internet, libertarians have a huge presence, and the social democrats are usually on the retreat against them.
Multiple states have medical marijuana laws, which are largely hypocritical legalization laws, while explicit legalization initiatives in some states, and the demographics of support for legalization makes it almost inevitable to increasingly pass and spread in the next 20 years.
I mean look at the Republican party.
The Tea Party is largely made up of those who lean Republican but oppose the big government excesses of the Republican Party.
When people actually discuss the proper role of government, lots of Americans are very libertarian, and increasingly so in my lifetime.
Libertarian governments tend toward rent seeking bureaucracies as time goes on. But rent seeking creates pressure, both fiscal and regulatory, for a return to libertarian principles.
If anything, in my lifetime, the negative rights view has made a huge comeback in the US, and particularly on explicit ideological grounds.
While the view may have made a comeback, the goals it seeks are growing more and more distant and politically difficult to acheive.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.