Its effects will depend on the society in which it is released into
So we estimate based on what we anticipate about the possible state of society.
The fact that they are a secretive monopolist doesn't bode well, though.
If it's expected that sharing AGI design results in everyone dying, not sharing it can't signal bad intentions.
The fact that they are a secretive monopolist doesn't bode well, though.
If it's expected that sharing AGI design results in everyone dying, not sharing it can't signal bad intentions.
The expectations and intentions of secretive organisations are usually unknown. From outside, it will likely seem pretty clear that only a secretive elite having the technology is more likely to result in a massive wealth and power inequalities than what would happen if everyone had access. Large wealth and power inequalities seem undesirable.
Secretive prospective monop...
...has finally been published.
Contents:
The issue consists of responses to Chalmers (2010). Future volumes will contain additional articles from Shulman & Bostrom, Igor Aleksander, Richard Brown, Ray Kurzweil, Pamela McCorduck, Chris Nunn, Arkady Plotnitsky, Jesse Prinz, Susan Schneider, Murray Shanahan, Burt Voorhees, and a response from Chalmers.
McDermott's chapter should be supplemented with this, which he says he didn't have space for in his JCS article.