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Viliam_Bur comments on How would you take over Rome? - Less Wrong Discussion

25 Post author: Yvain 14 March 2012 04:24PM

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Comment author: Viliam_Bur 15 March 2012 10:20:16AM 2 points [-]

That should not be "extra credit" but a necessary condition for acceping the solution.

By coming to the past and doing something, events change. Butterfly effect et cetera. History is influenced by what people do, and people are influenced by thousand random events every day.

Knowledge of the original future would only be useful to guess the existing tensions in the year 1 AD, but not for predicting which day someone will decide to attack someone, not even whether they will really attack them.

Comment author: Dr_Manhattan 15 March 2012 01:02:36PM 1 point [-]

Some events (volcanoes, large social phenomena etc) would not be ruled out by butterfly effect, so they're not strictly cheating.

Comment author: Viliam_Bur 15 March 2012 01:28:55PM 1 point [-]

Vulcanoes, sun eclipses, et cetera are fair game.

Large social phenomena could come a few days / years / months sooner or later, they could have different leaders, different victims, somewhat different endings, etc. (It may be good to bet on possibility of slave rebellion in -70s, but becoming friends with Spartacus may be useless.)