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Pfft comments on Muehlhauser-Goertzel Dialogue, Part 1 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (161)
I think your first paragraph was very useful.
I have no idea what your second paragraph is about -- "modern decision theory" is not a very specific citation. If there is research concluding that probability theory only applies to certain special cases of optimization, it would be awesome if you could make a top-level post explaining it to us!
There have already been many top-level posts, but you're right that I should have linked to them. Here is the LessWrong Wiki hub, here is a post by Wei Dai that cuts straight to the point.