What's the point of speculating about what something literally defined as having more knowledge than us would believe? All I know is that in our current state of knowledge, there's no more evidence for the existence of a God prepared to punish you with an afterlife in hell if you murder somebody than one who would do the same if you play disc golf.
I certainly don't think I have an argument for the non-existence of God, nor am I looking for one. Try disproving the idea that having a lifetime average of chewing on your left side between 60-70% will leave you screwed in the afterlife. Of course you can't disprove it, but then again I don't think I need to make this point on LW.
Why exactly would one have to be "very, very confident that there were no gods around to punish you for you to think it was worth it to turn the humans into computronium" (the original quote from Will)? Since there's no evidence for this hypothesis, you might as well spend your time worrying about making left turns, or chewing on the wrong side of your mouth, or really anything at all.
You do realize that "gods" means "other AGIs", right?
Are there any essays anywhere that go in depth about scenarios where AIs become somewhat recursive/general in that they can write functioning code to solve diverse problems, but the AI reflection problem remains unsolved and thus limits the depth of recursion attainable by the AIs? Let's provisionally call such general but reflection-limited AIs semi-general AIs, or SGAIs. SGAIs might be of roughly smart-animal-level intelligence, e.g. have rudimentary communication/negotiation abilities and some level of ability to formulate narrowish plans of the sort that don't leave them susceptible to Pascalian self-destruction or wireheading or the like.
At first blush, this scenario strikes me as Bad; AIs could take over all computers connected to the internet, totally messing stuff up as their goals/subgoals mutate and adapt to circumvent wireheading selection pressures, without being able to reach general intelligence. AIs might or might not cooperate with humans in such a scenario. I imagine any detailed existing literature on this subject would focus on computer security and intelligent computer "viruses"; does such literature exist, anywhere?
I have various questions about this scenario, including: