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NancyLebovitz comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 12 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Eliezer's clue sounds to me as though there's enough people in the Wizingamot whose interests and/or desires aren't served by convicting Hermione, and it's possible to identify them and change their minds once Harry stops thinking of the Wizingamot as a single inimical force. The details are left as an exercise for the student.
This seems most consistent with the quote about "Harry's a PC and the Wizengamot are wallpaper; this was about to change."