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Normal_Anomaly comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 12 - Less Wrong Discussion

5 Post author: Xachariah 25 March 2012 11:01AM

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Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 27 March 2012 04:55:27PM 7 points [-]

Sticking my neck out with a prediction, at the eleventh hour: I think that 1) the most likely solution of any proposed is that Harry will call in the debts owed to him by some of the Wizengamot members, 2) the true culprit behind the duel, GHD attack, and possible other mind-magic will eventually be revealed but not necessarily in this chapter, and that 3) it's probably Quirrel. Note that this shouldn't be taken as one giant conjunction, just three independent predictions.

Comment author: pedanterrific 27 March 2012 05:09:34PM 4 points [-]

Sticking my neck out with a prediction, at the eleventh hour: I think that 1) the most likely solution of any proposed is that Harry will call in the debts owed to him by some of the Wizengamot members, 2) the true culprit behind the duel, GHD attack, and possible other mind-magic will eventually be revealed but not necessarily in this chapter, and that 3) it's probably Quirrel. Note that this shouldn't be taken as one giant conjunction, just three independent predictions.

Comment author: pedanterrific 27 March 2012 08:01:27PM 2 points [-]

Another prediction that I forgot to put the first time:

Even if Harry's solution is not to call in his debts, it will not be violent, it will involve wizarding law and/or tradition, and Hermione and Harry will go back to school (as opposed to being fugitives/"off the grid").

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 27 March 2012 04:57:19PM 3 points [-]

Oh, and can someone reply to the parent with a copy of it so I can't edit my prediction after the fact? Thanks.

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 27 March 2012 05:09:12PM *  3 points [-]

Besides FAWS' suggestion of just not editing your comment, and so it lacking an asterisk you can also use predictionbook to record such predictions ( http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6147 and http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6148 are relevant to your first prediction )

Comment author: FAWS 27 March 2012 05:02:20PM 3 points [-]

If you keep refraining from editing it the comment won't display the asterisk after the positing time signifying that the comment has been edited, so people will know you made the prediction at the posting time.

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 27 March 2012 07:36:26PM 1 point [-]

Another prediction that I forgot to put the first time:
Even if Harry's solution is not to call in his debts, it will not be violent, it will involve wizarding law and/or tradition, and Hermione and Harry will go back to school (as opposed to being fugitives/"off the grid").