ArisKatsaris comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 14, chapter 82 - Less Wrong Discussion
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"Clearly"? That rather assumes lots and lots of stuff. I don't share your assumptions regarding this.
If Draco died, Lucius would abandon his whole political game in a mad attempt to take vengeance on whoever he considered responsible -- Harrymort, Dumbledore, whoever.
Plus, the grief/ over Draco's death would shadow over Harry's worry for Hermione in a way, in a sense that we'd not be able to get a proper appreciation of the latter.