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Vaniver comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 15, chapter 84 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: FAWS 11 April 2012 03:39AM

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Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 04:25:54AM *  6 points [-]

So, it seems more likely that Quirrel was behind the plot.

The thing about there only being seven houses seems big, though, and as far I can tell isn't from canon. (The list of purebloods, for example, doesn't include Jugson, though 500 years old might not be enough to be Most Ancient. I think we have HPMOR confirmation of Malfoy, Potter, Greengrass, and Longbottom, and I think in canon the only ones that get that description are Malfoy, Black, and maybe Potter (really, Peverell).

The 1926 hint narrows it down to four canon characters (though, of course, Bones might be mistaken). Interestingly enough, all of them were sorted into Slytherin- Tom Riddle, Rosier, Avery, and Lestrange. All of them were Death Eaters, and so it seems most likely it's Tom Riddle. (He would be the last of the female line of the Gaunt family, descended from Salazar Slytherin, which seems like it qualifies for Most Ancient. But I suspect the female line doesn't count for things like the Wizengamot, in canon at least.)

(Interestingly, in canon, Morfin Gaunt was memory-charmed to believe that he was the murderer of Voldemort's parents. Riddle did that to cover up a number of his murders. Even more pieces falling into place.)

Tom Riddle as hero seems... really bizarre, though. Who was Voldemort instead? (It seems implausible that Voldemort could have been an alterego; I suspect quite a bit of his pureblood support came from his lineage.)

Comment author: Nominull 11 April 2012 04:31:00AM 12 points [-]

We know Dumbledore thinks Tom Riddle was Voldemort, because when he's looking for Voldemort within Hogwarts he tells the map to find Tom Riddle.

Comment author: gwern 11 April 2012 01:37:04PM 7 points [-]

And all the other occasions Phoenix members speak of Tom Riddle or poison his father's grave.

Comment author: dspeyer 11 April 2012 05:20:33AM *  3 points [-]

Way back in chapter 7, Draco refers to "the Noble and Most Ancient House of Black". That's a fifth noble house.

JKR said Nott was ranked as highly as Malfoy. Doesn't necessarily apply in MOR.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:25:26AM 3 points [-]

I was going to say the Blacks are all (supposedly) dead in HPMOR at this point, but then I remembered that Sirius is (supposedly) just in Azkaban, not dead yet, and if he's counting the female line (like he would have to for Riddle to count) then there's also Bellatrix.

Comment author: Percent_Carbon 11 April 2012 08:58:38AM 2 points [-]

Maybe Andromeda Black-Tonks can to revive the house even though she was disowned if all the other members are dead or Azkabaned.

Comment author: ygert 11 April 2012 09:03:07AM 3 points [-]

There's also Draco, Tonks, and Andromeda. (Andromeda is Tonks' mother, Bellatrix's and Narcissa's sister.) This is all assuming that the female line counts, which it more or less has to.

Comment author: thomblake 11 April 2012 02:37:04PM 1 point [-]

Yes, I'd assume one of Draco's children would take up the mantle of Black if it came to that.

Comment author: Alsadius 13 April 2012 12:02:42AM 0 points [-]

Or Draco himself.

Comment author: thomblake 13 April 2012 12:33:00AM 1 point [-]

I assume Draco will remain a Malfoy and that you can't have both.

Comment author: Alsadius 13 April 2012 02:56:51AM 1 point [-]

Can't you? Multiple titles, and even personal union of crowns, are pretty common in RL nobility and royalty. It being allowed would be my default assumption, and I know of no Potterverse evidence to the contrary.

Comment author: Vaniver 13 April 2012 08:55:46PM *  2 points [-]

There's a difference between dynasties and titles. Houses are dynasties- lots and lots of people were Habsburgs, even though only one person held a title at any particular time. For example, Philip I was, in 1505, King of Castile, Duke of Burgundy, Duke of Brabant, Duke of Limburg, Duke of Lothier, Duke of Luxemburg, Margrave of Namur, Count Palatine of Burgundy, Count of Artois, Count of Charolais, Count of Flanders, Count of Hainault, Count of Holland, and Count of Zeeland, but only a member of one House- the Habsburgs.

Also, take a look at cadet branches.

It doesn't seem likely that wizards actually have hereditary titles that are linked to locations, since their power comes from magic, not farmland. Lord Malfoy is probably only a Lord because he's on the Wizengamot- Draco doesn't seem to have a courtesy title, as would befit the son of an important position in Muggle Britain.

Comment author: pedanterrific 13 April 2012 10:26:06PM *  1 point [-]

Lord Malfoy is probably only a Lord because he's on the Wizengamot

In MoR, Malfoy is a Noble and Most Ancient House, which presumably comes with a title. In canon, Lucius is neither a Lord, nor on the Wizengamot.

Also, in MoR we have

Though she was not addressed as Lady, Madam Longbottom would exercise the full rights of the Longbottom family for so long as their last scion had yet to attain his majority, and she was considered a prominent figure in a minority faction of the Wizengamot.

Comment author: thomblake 13 April 2012 02:13:17PM 0 points [-]

In that case I'd expect in that case there to be more people whose title is something like "Lord of Malfoy, Black, Longbottom, and Potter".

Comment author: pedanterrific 13 April 2012 08:39:15PM 1 point [-]

Oh god, bad fanfiction flashbacks...

Comment author: Alsadius 13 April 2012 02:37:38PM 1 point [-]

Long-form noble titles are used very rarely, because they're so unwieldy, and we've only seen a couple of folks who would be in a position to have multiple titles at all in the sort of detail where the long form would be used. Dumbledore is the only example I know of where they actually used anything longer than a few words. You're right that we might have seen one, but Rowling would likely have found it a bit too complex, and they're not so common that the lack is significant.

Comment author: drethelin 11 April 2012 04:28:29AM 3 points [-]

Remember that Quirrel is NOT Riddle. He's Riddle in the body of someone else. It's pretty damn voldemorty to come back in the body of one of your enemies, too.

Comment author: buybuydandavis 11 April 2012 06:00:18AM *  1 point [-]

I've been peddling the scheme of uploading into Harry when Harry supposedly defeats him.

It makes sense too that he has more power through Dark Rituals. He uses up the host body through the costs born by the host, and then moves on to another.

Comment author: [deleted] 11 April 2012 06:15:42AM 1 point [-]
Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:04:48AM 1 point [-]

The only canon character that matches Bones's description is Riddle (though he only does so partially, having murdered his family before his graduation in canon). So either EY stuck in a Mary Sue who just happens to have Tom Riddle's biographical details, or Bones wants Tom Riddle to take up the Gaunt seat in the Wizengamot.

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 05:07:54AM 3 points [-]

Or maybe there's a third option you haven't thought of. How confident are you?

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:13:34AM 3 points [-]

I thought of three other options, and dismissed all of them. Riddle gets over 98% of the 'canon character born in 1926' probability mass, and so I intend to spend a comparable amount discussing him over other options.

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 06:21:19AM 9 points [-]

Hmm. It seems it was supposed to be obvious it wasn't Riddle. How odd.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 03:49:44PM 0 points [-]

Why does it seem that way?

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 04:18:25PM 1 point [-]
Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:50:14PM 0 points [-]

Okay. I still stand by my probability (after I revised it down from the Noble House conversation) but it's irrelevant because the new birthdate suggests Quirrel is supposed to be a non-canon character.

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 11:26:22PM *  0 points [-]

You sure? The graduation date didn't change, so it's still one of Riddle's classmates. How many boys were sorted into Slytherin in 1938?

Edit: I just realized class sizes in 1991 have been more than doubled from canon, so you may have a point.

Comment author: Desrtopa 12 April 2012 02:19:24AM 1 point [-]

It strikes me as simply bettter writing, or at least, better fanfiction writing, if this new, extremely skilled and competent and apparently original character, can be explained by the original divergence between HPMoR and canon, and the most obvious way for that to be the case is if Voldemort controlled or impersonated him in some way, making his competence a consequence of Voldemort's competence.

Comment author: ChrisHallquist 11 April 2012 06:07:10AM 9 points [-]

Tom Riddle wasn't a hero. He was a villain whose villainous plot was to create a fake villain named Voldemort for him to defeat. He arranged for there to be a kidnapping attempt on the daughter of the minister of magic so that he could save her and be propelled into herodom. But things did not go according to plan:

"Long ago, long before your time or Harry Potter's, there was a man who was hailed as a savior. The destined scion, such a one as anyone would recognize from tales, wielding justice and vengeance like twin wands against his dreadful nemesis." Professor Quirrell gave a soft, bitter laugh, looking up at the night sky. "Do you know, Miss Granger, at that time I thought myself already cynical, and yet... well."

The silence stretched, in the cold and the night.

"In all honesty," said Professor Quirrell, looking up at the stars, "I still don't understand it. They should have known that their lives depended on that man's success. And yet it was as if they tried to do everything they could to make his life unpleasant. To throw every possible obstacle into his way. I was not naive, Miss Granger, I did not expect the power-holders to align themselves with me so quickly - not without something in it for themselves. But their power, too, was threatened; and so I was shocked how they seemed content to step back, and leave to that man all burdens of responsibility. They sneered at his performance, remarking among themselves how they would do better in his place, though they did not condescend to step forward." Professor Quirrell shook his head as though in bemusement. "And it was the strangest thing - the Dark Wizard, that man's dread nemesis - why, those who served him leapt eagerly to their tasks. The Dark Wizard grew crueler toward his followers, and they followed him all the more. Men fought for the chance to serve him, even as those whose lives depended on that other man made free to render his life difficult... I could not understand it, Miss Granger." Professor Quirrell's face was in shadow, as he looked upward. "Perhaps, by taking on himself the curse of action, that man removed it from all others? Was that why others felt free to hinder his battle against the Dark Wizard who would have enslaved them all? I still do not understand even now. My cynicism fails me, and I am left silent. But there came a time when that man realized he might do better fighting the Dark Wizard alone, as with such followers at his back."

"So -" Hermione's voice sounded strange in the night. "You left your friends behind where they'd be safe, and tried to attack the Dark Wizard all by yourself?"

"Why, no," said Professor Quirrell. "I stopped trying to be a hero, and went off to do something else I found more pleasant."

At this point, he decided to go full-time as the fake villain persona, and did so for the next eight years, when he decided to abandon it.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 03:48:56PM 4 points [-]

He was a villain whose villainous plot was to create a fake villain named Voldemort for him to defeat.

The reason I think this is odd is because, in canon, Voldemort was a name change, not a new person. So instead of Tom Riddle getting together with his Slug Club friends and saying "hey, maybe we should run this country, and by the way I never liked my old name," Voldemort is some external actor that managed to get the loyalty of a bunch of Britain's nobility.

Comment author: ChrisHallquist 11 April 2012 05:08:29PM 2 points [-]

Really? In canon I thought Voldemort = Riddle was a pretty well-kept secret. But as per Eliezer's comment elsewhere in the thread, it looks like Riddle's hero persona wasn't called "Tom Riddle," he impersonated (possessed?) a descendent of some more respectable house to create that identity.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:56:45PM *  3 points [-]

That could be- I haven't read the books since the last one came out. This is what I'm seeing on the HPWiki:

Having embraced the Dark Arts he encountered in his travels, the former Tom Riddle, now known exclusively as Lord Voldemort, raised an enormous army comprised of followers he recruited both at school and afterwards,

That suggests to me that the early Death Eaters grew up with him as Tom Riddle, and it was just a name change. If the "Voldemort = Riddle" thing is poorly known, it's probably because no one has reason to know that his name was Riddle (like, for example, most people have heard of Stalin but haven't heard of Dzhugashvili).

Comment author: Alsadius 13 April 2012 12:03:15AM -2 points [-]

That seems spectacularly stupid for someone as smart as we've observed him to be.

Comment author: Percent_Carbon 13 April 2012 07:37:42AM 0 points [-]

You should say what part is stupid.

Comment author: Alsadius 13 April 2012 02:39:29PM 0 points [-]

Creating a plan that complex and prone to failure?

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 13 April 2012 05:29:41PM *  3 points [-]

It isn't a very complex plan -- it just required that he play two roles; this gave him two avenues of success (if resistance to Voldemort is strong, take over as the hero -- if resistance to Voldemort is too weak take over as Voldemort). And it fits in perfectly with the plan that he has already suggested to Harry Potter (find an actor to play Voldemort, have him cast Avada Kedavra at you, block it with Patronus, be hero), so it's perfectly consistent with Quirrel's way of thinking.

When we talk about too complex plans, we talk about plans with multiple points of possible failure. You call this complicated because it had multiple points of possible success.

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 04:30:31AM 2 points [-]

My hypothesis is stated here, by the way- the thread goes on to include discussion of Noble Houses.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:10:21AM -1 points [-]

None of the canon classmates are noble, though.

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 05:11:18AM *  2 points [-]

The only canon Noble and Most Ancient House is Black, though.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:22:21AM *  -2 points [-]

Hm. It looks like EY just took any pure-blood family and decided to make it a Noble House- that suggests Crouch is one too, and possibly Lestrange. (But there are way more than seven of those.)

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 05:25:30AM 5 points [-]

Thank Donny for noticing this, but apparently there's a distinction being drawn between 'Noble' Houses like Potter and 'Noble and Most Ancient' Houses like Malfoy, Longbottom, Greengrass and Black.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 05:40:34AM *  2 points [-]

Indeed. I count 18 families 'related to' the House of Black, and if all of those are Noble or Noble and Most Ancient we could quickly round out the list.

Both Rosier and Lestrange show up on that list, so that raises my estimate that Bones thinks Quirrel is one of those classmates instead, but both of them were Death Eaters. Since so much is diverging from canon here, I suspect I should stop trying to predict based on canon and just wait to see what's changed.

(I couldn't resist, some more research: the Peverell family is extinct in the male line, suggesting that they might have been Noble and Most Ancient and the Potters, descended from them in the female line, are just Noble. That would mean that Riddle is just Noble, rather than Noble and Most Ancient, though, but who knows.)

Comment author: linkhyrule5 11 April 2012 05:44:32AM 0 points [-]

Presumably they're... well, at the risk of being obvious, the Most Ancient Houses?

Comment author: pedanterrific 11 April 2012 05:48:00AM 3 points [-]

Then how could the destruction of one cause their numbers to fall from eight to seven? If it's just a matter of who can trace their roots back the farthest, surely the next-oldest would be bumped up.

Comment author: taelor 11 April 2012 09:14:28AM 6 points [-]

Possibly there's some cutoff point, with only houses founded before that point given the Most Ancient label; whether this comes with any official privileges beyond just being old and respected remains to be seen.

Comment author: LucasSloan 11 April 2012 09:19:37AM 5 points [-]

It seems like the obvious cut-off point would be the original houses founded when Merlin created the Wizengamot.

Comment author: [deleted] 11 April 2012 06:41:04AM 6 points [-]

By now the Most Ancient label has shifted from being descriptive, to just part of the name

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 11 April 2012 10:54:03AM 3 points [-]

It looks like EY just took any pure-blood family and decided to make it a Noble House

This is lazy of you, downvoted.

The Crabbes and Goyles have not been declared noble. The Parkinsons and Montagues and Boles have not been declared noble.

Comment author: ArisKatsaris 11 April 2012 10:47:12AM 2 points [-]

I think we have HPMOR confirmation of Malfoy, Potter, Greengrass, and Longbottom, and

House Potter is not "Most Ancient".

In HPMor, we have Malfoy, Black, Greengrass and Longbottom declared explicitly as "Noble and Most Ancient".

Comment author: Anubhav 11 April 2012 11:32:24AM *  1 point [-]

Eliezer has jossed this. Page 118 or so of the TVTropes discussion.

Comment author: Vaniver 11 April 2012 03:50:33PM 7 points [-]

A link would be very helpful.

Comment author: loserthree 12 April 2012 04:10:31PM 1 point [-]

It's elsewhere in the thread, now. But here it is, anyway.