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TrE comments on Needed: A large database of statements for true/false exercises - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: Academian 13 April 2012 02:26AM

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Comment author: TrE 13 April 2012 05:19:11PM 0 points [-]

Well, if one can come up with the top Ys, one can reason about what probability one wants to assign to that statement. For example, if I can think of 9 countries that I think are bigger than Algeria, and three of which I am uncertain, I can well assign a probability of, say, 30%. Calibration training could be done this way.

Comment author: gjm 13 April 2012 06:42:11PM 0 points [-]

Yeah, I guess, but that's a whole lot of work for one short question of this kind and if you can think of 12 candidates then there's a good chance you've forgotten a couple. I don't mean to imply that this kind of question is completely useless, only that other sorts are probably better.

Comment author: TrE 13 April 2012 06:44:45PM 0 points [-]

I'd say it depends on what exactly you want to do once you have the statements.