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Will_Newsome comments on How can we get more and better LW contrarians? - Less Wrong Discussion
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(You seem to have misinterpreted me (my intentions) on a few (relatively minor) points (which is probably why you don't have a reliable model). Not worth getting into, just thought I should flag it for purposes of calibration.
And yeah, I also wouldn't be as tempted to go out of my way to (correctly or incorrectly) defend XiXiDu's (alleged) motivations if we had more/better contrarians.)