Note:
The process of true Bayesians coming to agreement bears precious little resemblance to a typical human argument.
;
You've been willfully ignorant and willfully misinterpreted me
You have a bad model of me.
Either you are being irrational or Aumann is wrong
Aumann's Agreement Theorem only applies to perfectly rational agents in particular idealized circumstances, as much as it's used colloquially hereabouts as though it says anything about humans.
And yes, I'm being massively irrational. I am a human. You are also being massively irrational. If you have figured out how to stop doing that, then please let us know.
your above fallacies
I did not see any fallacies. Given that I am an expert on logic, I expect that you're just using the word wrong.
your disdain for debate and your rejection of "convincing" because it's apparently associated with debate is incredibly stupid.
I'm still unsure what you mean by "stupid" on the object level.
For humans, being in debate-mode tends to be a bad idea with respect to truth-seeking. Once you start arguing for a position, it is very difficult to update your beliefs on new evidence.
If you have evidence, state your evidence, update on the evidence presented by others, and everybody wins. Entering into debate-mode or being rude is a great way to discourage rationality in both yourself and any respondents.
"If you have evidence, state your evidence, update on the evidence presented by others, and everybody wins."
The people who downvote the evidence win more.
In the spoiler problem from a while ago, someone else linked to an example conversation purporting to demonstrate why the policy was a good idea. I demonstrated that it was impossible, once the user had asked his question, for the conversation to have ended without causing the alleged harm done by revealing the spoiler. Someone responded by telling me that it's not up for discussion and no-one except Eliezer is allowed to have an opinion on whether it is a good or effective policy.
The next discussion thread is here.
This is a new thread to discuss Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality and anything related to it. This thread is intended for discussing chapter 85. The previous thread has long passed 500 comments. Comment in the 15th thread until you read chapter 85.
There is now a site dedicated to the story at hpmor.com, which is now the place to go to find the authors notes and all sorts of other goodies. AdeleneDawner has kept an archive of Author’s Notes. (This goes up to the notes for chapter 76, and is now not updating. The authors notes from chapter 77 onwards are on hpmor.com.)
The first 5 discussion threads are on the main page under the harry_potter tag. Threads 6 and on (including this one) are in the discussion section using its separate tag system. Also: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15.
As a reminder, it’s often useful to start your comment by indicating which chapter you are commenting on.
Spoiler Warning: this thread is full of spoilers. With few exceptions, spoilers for MOR and canon are fair game to post, without warning or rot13. More specifically: