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pedanterrific comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 - Less Wrong Discussion
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About the Horcrux (what brought this up?): Dumbledore implied to McGonagall that there was only one Horcrux. It's possible to construct reasons why he would do that when he knew there were more, but it's evidence against the idea.
And the trial: Dumbledore seemed to be basing his actions on a rather bad model of Lucius. Unless you think the outcome of the trial was what Dumbledore had in mind?
Knowledge that Harry is a Horcrux, plus Harry's recitation of his encounter with Lucius, are sufficient to deduce that Lucius thinks Harry=Voldemort. So, "Dumbledore doesn't appear to know this during the trial" is not evidence for or against "Dumbledore overheard Harry-Lucius conversation".
He only implied there was one that needs to be found.
Could you show specific bad actions that Dumbledore would perform differently if he knew Lucius' thoughts about Harry (assuming he actually didn't)?
...Oh.
You know, reading back through, I actually can't. So, um, nevermind then.