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GeorgieChaos comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 16, chapter 85 - Less Wrong Discussion
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It is not assured that an innocent will die in war, nor is it assured that there will be a war in the first place.
In a standard political disagreement, Harry shouldn't anticipate innocent deaths. The only reason Harry has to consider innocent deaths is that somebody targeted his friends. That still doesn't imply a war worth retaliating against, any more than any other random murder which occurs every day. You don't respond to a crazy murderer or an lone assassin with indiscriminate hand grenades against everybody who opposes you.
Harry doesn't know if there's going to be a war. Right now, there's no reason for anyone except for Quirrell to expect for there to be bloodshed, and that'll only happen if Quirrell decides to start some.