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Oscar_Cunningham comments on A question about Eliezer - Less Wrong Discussion
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I think the test for EY's articles aren't predictions he makes, which I don't recall many of, but what you can do with the insight he offers. For example, does it allow you to deal with your own problems better? Has it improved your instrumental rationality, including your epistemic rationality?
I don't agree with this at all. I could become a Christian, and then believe that all of my problems are gone because I have an eternity in heaven waiting for me simply because I accepted Jesus Christ as my savior. Christianity makes few falsifiable predictions. I want to hold EY up to a higher standard.
Yes, a person who has misevaluated the evidence of how much their beliefs help has misevaluated the evidence of how much their beliefs help. Let us hope we can do better.
And let us do better by evaluating the evidence on a more objective level.
Except the standard you posit is not the standard EY holds himself to, per the quote in JMIV's comment.
Please state how you think his statement contradicts mine.
Hm, on rereading I'm not sure it actually does. Thank you.