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J_Taylor comments on Case Study: Testing Confirmation Bias - Less Wrong Discussion

32 Post author: gwern 02 May 2012 02:03PM

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Tags: academia biases practical standard_biases psychology

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Comment author: J_Taylor 02 May 2012 10:45:59PM *  10 points [-]

And testing confirmation bias in this fashion is intrinsically deceptive, so I probably have damaged my online reputation as well.

I have no way to back this up and just posting this tastes like hindsight bias to me. Nonetheless, this was my train-of-thought when I read this post :

  1. Gwern is using what looks like normal communication as a means to experiment.
  2. Gwern is a data-crunching, prediction-making, experiment-performing, freak-of-nature. (I mean this in an extremely complimentary fashion.) Therefore:
  3. This wasn't the first time Gwern did something like this and it will not be the last time.

Of course, as Rational!Beyonce would say "If I thought it then I should have put a prediction on it."

Comment author: magfrump 03 May 2012 03:25:04AM 3 points [-]

Of course, as Rational!Beyonce would say "If I thought it then I should have put a prediction on it."

Amazing.

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