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John_Maxwell_IV comments on Case Study: Testing Confirmation Bias - Less Wrong Discussion

32 Post author: gwern 02 May 2012 02:03PM

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Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 03 May 2012 03:30:11AM 5 points [-]

He doesn't even tell us what the publication lag for the first experiment was.

Comment author: gwern 03 May 2012 04:11:26PM 1 point [-]

The first experiment? You mean the SIAI habit formation thing? I thought it was obvious from the intro specifying when the call for applicants went up and when I posted, but I've edited it to be more explicit.

Or do you mean the vitamin D evening experiment? The results didn't contradict any of his theories, and to the extent it matters to the theory at all, his theory predicts that it ought to damage sleep in the evening since it's influencing circadian rhythms and it isn't a mere matter of vitamin D deficiency.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 03 May 2012 10:04:02PM 1 point [-]

How long before he linked to your initial vitamin D results?

Comment author: gwern 03 May 2012 10:21:05PM *  -2 points [-]

Dunno. As I said, it didn't matter.

It just occurred to me - I have an active experiment going with deleting random external links on Wikipedia, but even though this affects a rough minimum of ~335,445 readers of Wikipedia articles (based on the summed March statistics of the affected articles), I will probably catch far less flak when I post my results on the WikiEN-l mailing list than I have already caught for this post here. Humans!

Comment author: Normal_Anomaly 09 May 2012 06:21:16PM 9 points [-]

It just occurred to me - I have an active experiment going with deleting random external links on Wikipedia,

I object to this more than I object to the experiment in the OP.

Comment author: gwern 09 May 2012 07:46:01PM 0 points [-]

Bless your soul! I was completely disheartened at the disinterest of even Wikipedians in my earlier experiment demonstrating that suggestions for adding external links get ignored. Anger is better than apathy.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 04 May 2012 01:38:12AM *  1 point [-]

I agree, the number of people affected by an amateur experiment you perform is a good measure of how much flak you should catch.