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shminux comments on Funding Good Research - Less Wrong Discussion
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If anything, that would be the most bang for the buck. There is a non-zero chance that the TDT is a blind avenue, and if so, discovering it early would save the SI's mission of preventing x-risk from AGI lots of time and money. Litany of Tarsky and such.
If the folks at SIAI respect Briggs enough to reason "well, if she can't do it, no one can" and move on to the next thing, that could be bang for buck.
That seems incredibly unlikely. There's a rather huge prior improbably of the latter that needs to be overcome.
Yes if their respect were misplaced, it would not be bang for buck.