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Will_Newsome comments on Which cognitive biases should we trust in? - Less Wrong Discussion

17 Post author: Andy_McKenzie 01 June 2012 06:37AM

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Comment author: Will_Newsome 02 June 2012 12:43:55AM *  1 point [-]

I can't tell if you're making a joke or arguing that hand-applied statistical practices of amateurs are actually worse for truth-seekers than automated data-mining.

Comment author: wedrifid 02 June 2012 12:54:23AM 0 points [-]

I can't tell if you're making a joke or arguing

Was going for "ask a question in the hope of getting a literal answer".

I don't have much information about when data mining packages are used, how effective they are for those uses or what folks would have done if they had not used them.

Comment author: Will_Newsome 02 June 2012 12:55:14AM 1 point [-]

I see. I don't have any good resources for you, sadly. I'd ask gwern.

Comment author: wedrifid 02 June 2012 01:03:24AM 0 points [-]

I see. I don't have any good resources for you, sadly.

I was essentially asking for your pure opinion/best guess. ie. An unpacking of what I infer were opinions/premises implied by "[not] good". Nevermind. I'll take it to be approximately "blind application of data-mining packages is worse than useless and gives worse outcomes than whatever they would or wouldn't have done if they didn't have the package".

Comment author: Will_Newsome 02 June 2012 01:06:47AM 1 point [-]

Sorry, I just don't have a strong opinion. It's hard for me to consider the counterfactual, because there's lots of selection effects on what studies I see both from the present time and the time before software data-miners were popular.