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Andreas_Giger comments on Can anyone explain to me why CDT two-boxes? - Less Wrong Discussion

-12 Post author: Andreas_Giger 02 July 2012 06:06AM

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Comment author: Andreas_Giger 02 July 2012 02:52:07PM -2 points [-]

No, only then am I playing Newcomb. What you're playing is weak Newcomb, where you assign a probability of x>0 for Omega being wrong, at which point this becomes simple math where CDT will give you the correct result, whatever that may turn out to be.

Comment author: Randaly 02 July 2012 03:10:40PM 2 points [-]

No, you are assuming that your decision can change what's in the box, which everybody agrees is wrong: the problem statement is that you cannot change what's in the million-dollar box.

Also, what you describe as "weak Newcomb" is the standard formulation: Nozick's original problem stated that the Predictor was "almost always" right. CDT still gives the wrong answer in simple Newcomb, as its decision cannot affect what's in the box.