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Armok_GoB comments on Irrationality Game II - Less Wrong Discussion
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Simple compared to what, and with what rates of false positives/negatives?
As in implementable in a couple of hundred lines of JavaScript. If I had good answers for the second question, I'd be a lot more sure than 20%.
Something that disqualifies things that don't contain keywords from the thing you're currently working on might function as a very crude version of this.
Come up with 20 independent algorithms like that, use bayes theorem to combine the results, and you should come pretty close.