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Oso_42 comments on Irrationality Game II - Less Wrong Discussion
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It is plausible that an existing species of dolphin or whale possesses symbolic language and oral culture at least on par with that of neolithic-era humanity. (75%)
Is "it is plausible" part of the statement to which you give 75% credence, or is it another way of putting said credence?
Because cetacean-language is more than 75% likely to be plausible but I think less than 75% likely to be true.
Upvoted for overconfidence.