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shokwave comments on Moderate alcohol consumption inversely correlated with all-cause mortality - Less Wrong Discussion
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My go-to reductio is "Olympic sprinters have lots of gold medals; I should wear lots of gold medals to run faster!"
Clearly, it only fails because there's too many Olympic sports.
You have no way of telling if it's making you run faster, swim faster, shoot better, or do backflips better.
I dub this the Bling Fitness Theory.
This is the clearest example of what's wrong with evidential decision theory I've ever seen!