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IlyaShpitser comments on Moderate alcohol consumption inversely correlated with all-cause mortality - Less Wrong Discussion

0 Post author: michaelcurzi 11 July 2012 05:41PM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 11 July 2012 08:06:21PM *  2 points [-]

| No because saying alcohol is healthy could get them in lots of trouble.

You may be right -- on the other hand, one can get a lot of publicity for a controversial finding. I don't think these sorts of studies use conservative language because they fear getting in trouble due to subject matter. I think they fear getting in trouble for using the wrong statistical methodology or the wrong language to describe it.

| Not even a little? Does it at least slightly increase your estimate of alcohol being healthy and so if at a social event deciding whether to have a drink shift your cost benefit analysis?

I am not a rationalist, and I don't use these kinds of cost benefit analyses when out drinking :). These sorts of studies are simply never a swing vote in my decision making. I agree that these studies are weak evidence.