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AlexSchell comments on Moderate alcohol consumption inversely correlated with all-cause mortality - Less Wrong Discussion

0 Post author: michaelcurzi 11 July 2012 05:41PM

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Comment author: AlexSchell 12 July 2012 08:09:27PM *  0 points [-]

Consider the actual meaning of "therefore" used in IlyaShpitser's post. It's logically stronger than "and".

In the least convenient possible world where health care is good and diseases aren't transmissible, the naive causal inference would lead to the same conclusion.

Comment author: shokwave 13 July 2012 05:31:30AM *  0 points [-]

the least convenient possible world where health care is good and diseases aren't transmissible

+1 to writing up my tentative 'How to use the LCPW principle safely and sanely' post. Or at least sending a draft to Yvain for thoughts.

Comment author: AlexSchell 28 September 2012 03:28:01AM 0 points [-]

Until that post comes, I'm curious what kind of an example you intend to make of my use of the concept -- safe/sane or otherwise?

Comment author: shokwave 28 September 2012 04:38:44PM 0 points [-]

Otherwise - the post was basically "remember that the least convenient possible world has to at least be possible".

Comment author: OrphanWilde 12 July 2012 08:44:27PM 0 points [-]

Except that it wasn't formal logic; the conclusion didn't follow from the premise, because there's nothing indicating that sickness is something which should be avoided. Therefore, the reader is expected to use information contextual to the world the author is in; namely, that sickness is bad, and should be avoided. Because there's also another possible world where -diseases- are good, and the construction wouldn't even make sense.