Oscar_Cunningham comments on [Retracted] Simpson's paradox strikes again: there is no great stagnation? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Comments (51)
Upvoted, especially for the heuristic in the last sentence.
Can you remember what that was?
If you're dealing with statistics averaged from a whole bunch of data, you should check a couple of examples in more detail and see if they match the conclusions you're drawing from the whole data set.
So in this example, checking with a couple of companies to see if their wages really did stagnate.
Thanks!