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jsteinhardt comments on Thoughts on a possible solution to Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: Dolores1984 01 August 2012 12:32PM

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Comment author: jsteinhardt 16 August 2012 01:20:43AM 0 points [-]

Markov's inequality says that, if 0 <= X <= 1, then

P[X >= a] <= E[X] / a

and that

P[X <= a] <= E[1-X] / (1-a)

These are directional statements, hence directionality of metaconfidence.