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IlyaShpitser comments on The Doubling Box - Less Wrong Discussion

13 Post author: Mestroyer 06 August 2012 05:50AM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 06 August 2012 06:13:49AM *  2 points [-]

If you know the probability distribution P(t) of you dying on day t, then you can solve exactly for optimal expected lifetime utilons out of the box. If you don't know P(t), you can do some sort of adaptive estimation as you go.

Comment author: TrE 06 August 2012 06:44:49AM 6 points [-]

Note that the problem is making the counterfactual assumption that

You are immortal.

Comment author: Mestroyer 06 August 2012 06:56:33AM 2 points [-]

P(t) = 0.

Comment author: IlyaShpitser 06 August 2012 08:06:14AM 1 point [-]

Why is this an interesting problem?

Comment author: Mestroyer 06 August 2012 11:37:30PM 0 points [-]

I'm not sufficiently familiar with my own internal criteria of interesting-ness to explain to you why I find it interesting. Sorry you don't as well.