advancedatheist comments on Mentioning cryonics to a dying person - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (72)
These odds depend a great deal on the behavior of cryonicists in the here and now, instead of depending completely on the haphazard. Refer to:
RESPONSIBILITY, PROBABILITY, AND DURABILITY, by Thomas Donaldson http://www.alcor.org/Library/html/probability.html
Specifically Donaldson writes:
So the cryonicist, Donaldson argues, needs to think more like the owner of the casino in this example instead of like a passive gambler.
This odds-based thinking also tends to encourage passivity, a fault which I find in typical "skeptical" evaluations of the idea. The usual skeptic says something like, "Cryonics can't or won't work," period; whereas the skeptic who likes solving problems looks at the situation and thinks more along the lines of, "Hmm, cryonics can't or won't work - if you do it that way." Then he might try to think of ways to improve the statement of the problem so that it looks more solvable.
I read gwern and faul_sname as talking about the odds of convincing a relative to sign up, not the odds of revival.