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DanielLC comments on The Fallacy of Large Numbers - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: dspeyer 12 August 2012 06:39PM

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Comment author: DanielLC 13 August 2012 04:03:30AM 1 point [-]

If you have 100 cars and there's a 50% failure rate, there'd be a standard deviation of five, so you'd need an extra 15 or so cars to be safe. You have to give up almost a third of them. Three not being large is the bigger problem, but 100 still isn't all that large.