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Epiphany comments on Stupid Questions Open Thread Round 4 - Less Wrong Discussion
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Why haven't SI and LW attracted or produced any good strategists? I've been given to understand (from someone close to SI) that various people within SI have worked on Singularity strategy but only produced lots of writings that are not of an organized, publishable form. Others have attempted to organize them but also failed, and there seems to be a general feeling that strategy work is bogged down or going in circles and any further effort will not be very productive. The situation on LW seems similar, with people arguing in various directions without much feeling of progress. Why are we so bad at this, given that strategic thinking must be a core part of rationality?
I love working on problems like these. If the specifics of the "circles" are written down anywhere, or if you care to describe them, I'd happily give it a whack. I won't claim to be an expert, but I enjoy complex problem solving tasks like this one too much not to offer.
My understanding is that there is a lot of writings produced internally by SingInst that are not available to the public. If you think you are up to the task of organizing and polishing them into publishable form (which I guess probably also requires filling in lots of missing pieces) you should contact them and volunteer. (But I guess they probably don't want to hand their unfinished work to just anyone so you'll have to prove yourself somehow.)
If you just want to get an idea of the issues involved, here are some of my writings on the topic:
And see also the unfinished AI risk sequence by lukeprog.
From time to time people ask lukeprog about SI writings. He talk about AI papers they are working, and at some point, for the sake of security, he stop and says "it's confidential" or something similar.
Evaluating who can do a good work is importante, 60% fail, besides the historical aversion to formated papers.
Note: I'm still waiting EY books.