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The difficulty in predicting AI, in three lines — LessWrong

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The difficulty in predicting AI, in three lines

by Stuart_Armstrong

2nd Oct 2012

1 min read

2

An over-simplification, but an evocative one:

The social sciences are contentious, their predictions questionable.
And yet social sciences use the scientific method; AI predictions generally don't.
Hence predictions involving human-level AI should be treated as less certain than any prediction in the social sciences.

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[anonymous]14y20

The social sciences are contentious, their predictions questionable.

And yet social sciences use the scientific method; mathematics doesn't

Hence statements involving math should be treated as less certain than any prediction in the social sciences.

Stuart_Armstrong14y10

:-)

You're right - there is one area whose methods are even better than science. If only more problems could be solved like math problems!