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Decius comments on Taking "correlation does not imply causation" back from the internet - Less Wrong Discussion

41 Post author: sixes_and_sevens 03 October 2012 12:18PM

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Comment author: Decius 05 October 2012 02:38:09AM -1 points [-]

That's because you have cause and effect reversed: The extra effort causes the gold stars, not the other way around.

Comment author: Salemicus 05 October 2012 01:07:14PM 1 point [-]

No, the gold stars cause extra effort after they are given out. This is part of the hypothetical.

The pupils work harder after they are given a gold star because they see their good work is appreciated. But if the gold stars are given out willy-nilly, then the pupils no longer feel proud to get one, and so they lose their ability to make students work harder.

As Robert Lucas would put it, the relationship is not robust to changes in the policy regime.