I'm looking for a thesis by Bullock 2007, "Experiments on partisanship and public opinion: Party cues, false beliefs, and Bayesian updating" (may be accessible via Proquest).

I'm interested in it because I've come up with a Bayesian justification of the backfire effect, but it seems like Bullock may have covered it already in the last section. ;_;

EDIT: He did some interesting stuff in "Part 3, Bayesian Updating of Political Beliefs: Normative and Descriptive Properties", but not exactly what I have in mind.