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shminux comments on [Link] Are Children Natural Bayesians? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Interesting, and still perfectly Bayesian. Adults have stronger priors, so their updates are not as large.
Yup. The nature of the change in JQuinton's question was a change in the available evidence. (A quibble: this is not perfectly Bayesian, since adults ought not to treat toys in psychology experiments as exchangeable with toys encountered in the wild. I'd posit that Thinking, Fast and Slow is relevant here.)