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DanielLC comments on A probability question - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: PhilGoetz 19 October 2012 10:34PM

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Comment author: DanielLC 20 October 2012 03:09:22AM 1 point [-]

You don't have to factor out the priors both times, since putting it back in will cancel one of them out. This is equivalent to considering how one of them will update based on the information the other has.

(8/2)/(4/6) * (7/3) = 336/24, 336/(336+24) = 0.933