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thomblake comments on Is Omega Impossible? Can we even ask? - Less Wrong Discussion

-8 Post author: mwengler 24 October 2012 02:47PM

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Comment author: thomblake 24 October 2012 04:10:03PM 0 points [-]

Better than 50.5% accuracy actually doesn't sound that implausible, but I will note that if Omega is probabilistic then the way in which it is probabilistic affects the answer.

Sure, I was reading the 50.05% in terms of probability, not frequency, though I stated it the other way. If you have information about where his predictions are coming from, that will change your probability for his prediction.

Comment author: benelliott 24 October 2012 04:28:43PM 1 point [-]

Fair point, your're right.