Do most poor people actively want a lot of children, or is it rather something that happens to them while having sex? Either because they don't have money to use contraceptives, or are too stupid to use them properly, or simply at the moment of passion they forget to think about any related things... In other words, what exactly is the causal chain which creates most poor children? The answer could be different for different groups of people.
Or, perhaps, it's an optimal choice given a bad situation.
If you are relatively uncertain that any one child will survive and prosper, and you want to maximize the chance of having grandchildren, you have many children — which means starting early, too. Likewise, if you have limited access to health care, and you want to bear children at the time that it's medically safest for you to do so, late teenage years are preferable over early thirties.
Oh — and if it worked for your own parents (and those of others around you), it's evidently an effective strategy.
(We tend to overestimate the degree to which people's actions are due to the kind of person they are, and underestimate the degree to which they're due to their situation. To correct for this, when we see people in a particular situation behaving in a particular way, we should try explaining the behavior with the situation before introducing third causes such as that they are unusually stupid or short-sighted people.)
Or, perhaps, it's an optimal choice given a bad situation.
Optimal from evolutionary or psychological viewpoint? Because that's not the same thing. What historically increased the frequency of genes of my ancestors is not always the same thing that makes me most happy now.
Even assuming that poor people having many children is best for their genes, it does not automatically mean that it makes them happy, and that they want it.
I recently read an article by Steve Sailer that reminded me about something I have been puzzled by for a long time. Relevant paragraphs:
Poor people having fewer children means that the children have more resources available per capita making the children better off. Rich people having more children actually increases equality in society since it reduces the per capita resource advantage their children have. Rich people giving to their children is also one of the few cases where the redistribution of wealth doesn't reduce incentives for wealth creation. Rich people care about their children too.
Since programs aimed at reducing teen pregnancy rates do seem to have had some effect, we known something like this is possible without being horrible to the potential parents it targets.
Yet a policy of "poor people should have fewer children, rich people more" sounds heartless despite increasing general welfare both by making poor children better off and by reducing the privilege of rich children thus increasing equality which we seem to think is ceteris paribus a good thing.
Why is that?
Edit: To test the source of the reader's intuiton (assuming he shares it with me), I encourage the consideration of two interesting scenarios that may depart from reality.