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CarlShulman comments on Equality and natalism - Less Wrong Discussion

10 [deleted] 24 October 2012 03:53PM

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Comment author: CarlShulman 25 October 2012 05:43:14PM *  3 points [-]

Read advancedatheist's comment. It wasn't about benefits exceeding costs, or the fact that successful Sweden adopted a policy providing Bayesian evidence for the quality of the policy. It explicitly offered the hypothesis that Sweden turned out better than average because of the policy, i.e. that it was a but-for cause rather than a tiny irrelevant effect in that direction.

There is no straw-man here, the difference is important. Policies with small maximum benefits are not individually worth huge political efforts or fixed costs. Policies with large benefits can be.