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DanielLC comments on Question about application of Bayes - Less Wrong Discussion
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No. My way was assuming that it either crashes exclusively because of that line or exclusively because of something else. Furthermore, I only gave priors for if it's given which it's doing.
Let A = that line is the cause of the crash.
Let q!=x mean that this is true for any value of q besides x.
P(p,0|A) = beta(0.5,0.5)(p)
P(p,q!=0|A) = 0
P(p,p|!A) = beta(0.5,0.5)(p)
P(p,q!=p|A) = 0